Changing Threat Perceptions and Military Doctrines by Laszlo Valki

By Laszlo Valki

Owing to the progressive alterations in jap Europe and the Soviet Union, the hazard perceptions of the East and West have vanished. The members to this quantity file this social approach and take a look at to spot a number of the new hazard perceptions as a way to arise.

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As Colonel Stanislaw Koziej of the Polish Armed Forces has pointed out, these trends will reshape tactics along five, mutually connected lines: the transformation of traditional ground combat into air-land combat, broadening the role of mobility in all troop actions; the development and generalization of taking combat actions within enemy formations, especially raiding actions; the initiation of battle at increasingly greater distances; [and] the growth of the significance of the 'information struggle', which has as its objective to steer the enemy in the direction of one's own plans and intentionsY Taken together, these concepts imply a major recasting of tactics and operational art to reflect the enhanced role of manoeuvre by fire and a simultaneous 'levelling' of offence and defence.

23 One would add to this list military science. For, as General-Colonel I. E. Shavrov and Colonel M. A. '24 In this regard, the roots of Soviet military doctrine and the explicit linkage of its development with operational art take on greater significance. 25 At the same time, the Minister of Defence, Dmitriy Yazov, stated that Soviet forces must be capable of mounting a successful counter-offensive to rebuff any aggressor. 26 The capacity to mount such operations throughout the depth of an aggressor's deployments in a battle of annihilation could, when joined with covert mobilisation, redeployments, and regroupings of forces, be used to 'creep up to war' and achieve political-military surprise of operational and strategic significance, affecting the course and outcome of a future conflict.

Svechin rejected such a course because the very process of creating such weapons systems, developing an optimal method for their mass employment, integrating them into combined-arms combat, and training crews to man and service such systems was both too complex and too protracted to permit decisive, technological surprise, Svechin cited the history of the machine gun, gas and tank to make his point. He concluded that the appropriate Jacop Kipp 37 military-technical objective was not the achievement of surprise but the possession of the technological initiative.

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